Canada prepares for potential challenges as Trump returns to U.S. presidency

Ottawa recalls NAFTA renegotiations and border challenges

After Trump’s 2016 election, Canada quickly faced the renegotiation of the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA), which lasted over a year. Tensions were high, especially with Trump’s immigration policies, which led to a surge of border crossings at Roxham Road. In 2018, the U.S. imposed tariffs on Canadian steel and aluminum, sparking a trade dispute. The G7 summit in Charlevoix, Quebec, ended with publicized criticism. Reflecting on the period, Canada’s UN ambassador Bob Rae described it as one of the most difficult moments Canada has faced.

Military spending pressures and implications for NATO

Trump’s return may bring renewed pressures on Canada to increase military spending and review its role in NATO. Canada, as a member of the alliance, may be urged to increase its defense budgets to align with NATO’s demands. The U.S. approach of focusing on “America First” could lead to a reassessment of security commitments by Canadian officials.

Potential repercussions for climate and economic policy

Climate policy is likely to be impacted again, with the U.S. expected to reduce participation in international climate accords. This shift could hinder Canada’s own climate action goals. Economic competition may also become an issue, as major U.S. tax cuts could pressure Canada to adopt similar strategies to remain competitive. Canadian officials will likely need to consider responses to potential U.S. tariffs that may affect the Canadian economy.

Increased Canadian support for Trump and political response

In recent polls, Canadian support for Trump has risen from 15% in 2020 to 21%. This increase is notable, especially among Conservative Party supporters. Pierre Poilievre, Conservative leader, has already shown interest in addressing Trump’s influence on Canadian policy. Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland recently expressed confidence in Canada’s stability and independence, reassuring Canadians of the country’s strength amid shifting U.S. leadership.

The coming years promise significant changes in U.S.-Canada relations. As Trump’s influence grows, Canadian officials must adapt swiftly to maintain the nation’s economic stability and political security.

source: CBC